Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.094624 0.111277 0.129900 0.152258 0.178362 0.207866 0.243741
2025-11-30 0.070498 0.092087 0.118767 0.154110 0.199660 0.256356 0.332265
2025-12-07 0.055785 0.078894 0.109685 0.153609 0.214567 0.296090 0.413342
2025-12-14 0.044902 0.067825 0.100329 0.149614 0.222300 0.325399 0.482618
2025-12-21 0.037910 0.060633 0.094638 0.148996 0.233479 0.359528 0.561643
2025-12-28 0.033899 0.057050 0.093397 0.154284 0.253409 0.408060 0.667256
2026-01-04 0.030795 0.054294 0.092837 0.160218 0.274642 0.460539 0.784842
2026-01-11 0.027832 0.051244 0.091241 0.163992 0.292459 0.509141 0.901405
2026-01-18 0.024820 0.047610 0.088069 0.164461 0.304413 0.548916 1.007178
2026-01-25 0.021456 0.042812 0.082146 0.159122 0.305193 0.569101 1.080380
2026-02-01 0.018405 0.038139 0.075794 0.152053 0.301710 0.580905 1.139131
2026-02-08 0.016292 0.034990 0.071883 0.149060 0.305403 0.606007 1.225150
2026-02-15 0.014113 0.031521 0.067145 0.144348 0.306239 0.627893 1.312085
2026-02-22 0.012898 0.029923 0.066015 0.146949 0.322414 0.682228 1.471691
2026-03-01 0.011582 0.027884 0.063657 0.146589 0.332307 0.725015 1.612954
2026-03-08 0.010178 0.025412 0.059985 0.142788 0.334176 0.751156 1.721981
2026-03-15 0.009188 0.023750 0.057882 0.142199 0.343045 0.793240 1.870930
2026-03-22 0.008674 0.023167 0.058184 0.147252 0.365499 0.867920 2.102370
2026-03-29 0.008238 0.022711 0.058718 0.152922 0.390136 0.950413 2.361934
2026-04-05 0.007724 0.021967 0.058438 0.156527 0.410206 1.024600 2.610805
2026-04-12 0.007102 0.020832 0.057002 0.156976 0.422436 1.081471 2.824448
2026-04-19 0.006296 0.019052 0.053632 0.151875 0.419736 1.101444 2.948483
2026-04-26 0.005517 0.017218 0.049853 0.145120 0.411753 1.107157 3.036719